Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e67976c5fc826550d53f5deae544d4bcaa6bb3f37f53ac3749b1e61e758793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 16,920$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.84 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 5,723$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.07 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 1,956$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 7c | 1,875$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 1,666$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.16 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 74c | 1,504$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.49 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 1,103$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 70c | 972.86$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 28c | 650.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 71c | 582.82$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.82 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 566$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 69c | 553.68$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 545.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 532.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 18c | 465.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 255.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 28c | 247.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 25c | 241.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 75c | 221.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 220.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 148.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 28c | 82.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 75c | 80.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 17c | 78.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 58.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Yes | 77c | 53.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 74c | 53.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…4c44backed Yes | 68c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…a925backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 75c | 43.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 74c | 40.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…7cfcbacked Yes | 71c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed Yes | 74c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 66c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a3b4backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.