Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1e6337c53331b0030a3189f45c5e7311ebebc161fdb52f8e285548144aedef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 4,562$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 4,408$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 3,917$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.75 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 2,599$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.05 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 67c | 1,276$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.09 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.4 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 71c | 1,048$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…2c56backed Over | 34c | 854.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 63c | 601$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 550.13$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 516.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Over | 62c | 516.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 452.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 64c | 325.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 66c | 303.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 44c | 284.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 45c | 269.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 76c | 194.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 179.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 178.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 62c | 145.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 114.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 80c | 88.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Over | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 38c | 79.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 61c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Under | 44c | 68.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 68c | 57.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 58c | 55.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 75c | 50.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 30c | 46.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 66c | 41.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 40c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 38.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 36.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Over | 44c | 22.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.