Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c10a7dea527fbe7c66611de8bc39f17979921ac7aebfdfb35742c452ec59fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,877$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 74c | 2,419$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 1,072$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 907.62$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 75c | 851.31$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 23c | 545.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 25c | 545.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 415.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 406.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 287.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 25c | 197.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 62c | 181$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 62c | 110.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 54c | 106.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 104.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 25c | 94.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 77.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Over | 59c | 54.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…482dbacked Over | 57c | 46.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 46.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 54c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 62c | 35.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 32.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 31.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…4076backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 77c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5this page
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.