Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Agressiv Style vs Biz Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series #2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be759653f9fe03adf68e3b54e024284aa1c2155259a314d5b867f7c9cc367ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Agressiv Styleof Agressiv Style, Biz Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe390…73ffbacked Biz Gaming | 3c | 3,581$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Biz Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Biz Gaming | 63c | 497.34$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Agressiv Style | 35c | 322.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Agressiv Style | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Biz Gaming | 63c | 281.75$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Agressiv Style | 38c | 251.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Agressiv Style | 47c | 210.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Biz Gaming | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Biz Gaming | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Agressiv Style | 43c | 126.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Biz Gaming | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…5309backed Biz Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Agressiv Style | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Agressiv Style | 33c | 96.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Biz Gaming | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Biz Gaming | 60c | 61.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Agressiv Style | 48c | 59.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Agressiv Style | 41c | 51.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Biz Gaming | 32c | 49.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Biz Gaming | 69c | 45.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3,255.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Biz Gaming | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Biz Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Biz Gaming | 64c | 39.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Biz Gaming | 58c | 22.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Biz Gaming | 59c | 22.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed Agressiv Style | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Agressiv Style vs Biz Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series #2 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Agressiv Style vs Biz Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBiz Gaming won
- Dota 2: Agressiv Style vs Biz Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAgressiv Style won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.