Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04d078c63fc1159de624a40ca3f98c01b97a0055354d7e6411fcf2564306a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 3,245$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 2,472$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 1,897$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.81 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,393$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.09 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 1,149$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 37c | 1,115$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 976.38$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.23 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 17c | 861.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.33 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 595.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes | 75c | 535.48$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 75c | 349.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 72c | 298.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…e768backed Yes | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Yes | 64c | 272.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 65c | 229.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 17c | 222.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 76c | 215$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 17c | 200.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 183.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 37c | 163.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 148.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 25c | 137.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 129.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 26c | 127.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…917fbacked Yes | 17c | 115.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +109%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed No | 37c | 109.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 108$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…9f7abacked No | 38c | 106.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 36c | 82.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…c837backed Yes | 36c | 81.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 60.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…b3dabacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 35c | 57.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked No | 36c | 55.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…3729backed Yes | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 33c | 37.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed No | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…3bfdbacked Yes | 73c | 36.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 31c | 35.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…03b5backed Yes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.