TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked No56c123,478$69,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,330.383946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.994852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes0c48,933$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.931020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,6009450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c18,753$11,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,625.354,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c16,882$9,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,505.4190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c4,936$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Yes44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7601040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c3,800$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c3,547$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.5613046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No56c3,389$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.1620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No58c2,687$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.588143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c2,600$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.7660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c2,257$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No61c2,080$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.1222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes45c1,830$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.58334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No55c1,812$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.363537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7115446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No55c1,616$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.1716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No56c1,500$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes44c1,467$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.579058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes37c1,350$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6298…4deabacked Yes44c1,215$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes44c1,131$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.393040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes40c1,011$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes4c990.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No58c982.81$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5710245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes47c973.46$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes43c833.29$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.319656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c781.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes42c770.29$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5213845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes45c764.87$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865a…b52ebacked Yes42c560$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.71526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes45c551.11$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2486222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39f4…3c57backed Yes34c488$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes34c467.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes32c344.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9310329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c335$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No55c266.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes17c260.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No59c242.3$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8714067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes45c238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.13231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No57c235.09$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0910441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e16…cca1backed Yes44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5e…7952backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed No57c212.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.224847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c189.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.251,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No56c187.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1120452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes45c186.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No68c163.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…1bf3backed No56c163.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c157.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Yes41c157.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.531225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ec…2065backed Yes33c151.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c131$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…29eabacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c29…a12fbacked Yes45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No72c109.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9412744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No57c97.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.943164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Yes44c95.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No65c80.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No55c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.658751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes31c75.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes44c72.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305044%22 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes45c67.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.162832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe22e…f946backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49134.1%31 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes34c58.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes36c55.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206838.2%26 W · 42 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes42c54.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes34c53.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…224ebacked Yes35c50.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.