La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c87922187b33e97fe988757fb9b03d179db74374aefae6f885c6a38f993b7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,497$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1428backed Yes | 31c | 3,285$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…35a3backed Yes | 31c | 3,097$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,116$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,841$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.35 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,560$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 32c | 1,394$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…f1aebacked No | 69c | 1,289$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8922…12e9backed No | 69c | 1,158$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…dd1dbacked No | 69c | 1,123$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,113$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…9018backed No | 69c | 1,047$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…5fbfbacked No | 69c | 892$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…7cf8backed No | 69c | 873$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 772$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 698.5$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 70c | 665.35$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 68c | 652.05$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 69c | 618.83$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 15c | 557.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 70c | 551.43$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 9c | 524.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…6511backed No | 70c | 521.43$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…e03bbacked No | 70c | 505.71$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…a34ebacked Yes | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 38c | 488$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…e948backed No | 70c | 402.86$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 65c | 359$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…c498backed No | 70c | 355.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 30c | 313.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 8c | 249.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 11c | 247.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…81ebbacked Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 32c | 211.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 12c | 202.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 26c | 159.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 35c | 150.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 12c | 125.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 62c | 122$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 68c | 105.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 15c | 82.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 31c | 70.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed Yes | 31c | 41.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 68c | 36.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 24.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.