La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a121cb0ff8e270d43c34b3b7067b31af6370ed17427257e268458b0eb49c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,003$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 9c | 5,148$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.35 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 2,788$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.18 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 2,743$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 26c | 2,692$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.31 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,318$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.83 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,142$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.94 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 1,649$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.81 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 1,179$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 39c | 1,148$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.58 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 20c | 999.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 80c | 984.24$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 74c | 749.99$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 636.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 74c | 501.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 26c | 488$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 459.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 75c | 457$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 30c | 421$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 26c | 383.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 47c | 317.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 312.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 32c | 308.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 301.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 26c | 249.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 36c | 222$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 186.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 29c | 182.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 7c | 173.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 79c | 164$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 26c | 129.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 75c | 87.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 26c | 76.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 39c | 59.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 49.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 58c | 44.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 43.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 37.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 74c | 33.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 74c | 31.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…96c7backed No | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…0fe2backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.6wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…5614backed Yes | 46c | 25.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…f6a2backed Yes | 56c | 23.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…f9c2backed Yes | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b00…cfbdbacked No | 74c | 16.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 15.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed No | 78c | 15.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 14.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.