South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1916fe55e66ccbf7cf79e653a344b5376c16d0fceb5b6e403f6c06ed848afdd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,963$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 24c | 843.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.77 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 638.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 22c | 602.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 517.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 36c | 417.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Over | 77c | 252.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 76c | 249.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 77c | 210.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 78c | 137.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 78c | 117.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 74c | 95.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 77c | 93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Over | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Over | 77c | 74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 78c | 72.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 76c | 72.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…23cdbacked Under | 24c | 68.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +317.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 77c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 77c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 55c | 55.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 77c | 37.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Over | 76c | 34.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 31.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 25.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.