Lol · resolved market

LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b56f0cfae5114bd7f4b24a2b2071eb193692c16c54c38e331622a2bb237fc06

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: mCon esportsof mCon esports, Dynasty
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed mCon esports	67c	8,926$6,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,921.98	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Dynasty	33c	7,121$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	175	37.1%65 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Dynasty	32c	3,264$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.9	460	33.9%156 W · 304 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Dynasty	41c	2,100$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.98	119	36.1%43 W · 76 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked mCon esports	58c	2,038$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.72	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Dynasty	38c	1,586$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.67	771	31.8%245 W · 526 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dynasty	34c	1,077$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.19	1,224	48.3%591 W · 633 L	+26.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed mCon esports	64c	1,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.73	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Dynasty	44c	999.98$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	105	41.9%44 W · 61 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed mCon esports	62c	987.25$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.16	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked mCon esports	54c	799.11$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.94	133	45.1%60 W · 73 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed mCon esports	57c	616.83$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.23	190	42.1%80 W · 110 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed mCon esports	63c	605.43$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.01	233	51.1%119 W · 114 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed mCon esports	69c	579.71$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.01	185	49.7%92 W · 93 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dynasty	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked mCon esports	67c	467.18$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.17	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Dynasty	45c	445.96$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Dynasty	60c	400$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.5	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed mCon esports	69c	364.78$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.08	1,151	56%644 W · 507 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed mCon esports	56c	342.86$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.86	427	35.4%151 W · 276 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked mCon esports	62c	322.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.74	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked mCon esports	58c	322.41$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.41	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked mCon esports	62c	262.98$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.93	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1706…f054backed mCon esports	62c	256$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.28	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x308a…5d3abacked Dynasty	38c	255$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ec…2065backed mCon esports	59c	200.89$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Dynasty	43c	193$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.99	566	50%283 W · 283 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Dynasty	33c	150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	229	30.6%70 W · 159 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked Dynasty	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed mCon esports	66c	138$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed mCon esports	53c	120$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	316	43%136 W · 180 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dynasty	35c	110.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.26	159	45.3%72 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed mCon esports	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-9.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Dynasty	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4485…912cbacked Dynasty	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Dynasty	32c	97.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.15	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed mCon esports	54c	93.92$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.92	219	43.8%96 W · 123 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d8…b398backed Dynasty	59c	92.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed mCon esports	66c	90$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.25per pick	56cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed mCon esports	68c	81.8$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	263	54%142 W · 121 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked mCon esports	68c	71.84$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.99	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed mCon esports	47c	70.62$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f92…c778backed mCon esports	59c	70.26$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed mCon esports	59c	60.26$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.61	541	29.9%162 W · 379 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked mCon esports	68c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	171	32.2%55 W · 116 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed mCon esports	63c	56.9$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.05	376	41.8%157 W · 219 L	-18.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed mCon esports	55c	50.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dynasty	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	276	32.6%90 W · 186 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Dynasty	34c	47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Dynasty	34c	46$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Dynasty	41c	45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed mCon esports	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Dynasty	34c	36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed mCon esports	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Dynasty	43c	33.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	441	28.1%124 W · 317 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked mCon esports	59c	30.76$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Dynasty	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Dynasty	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Dynasty	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…fc6dbacked mCon esports	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed mCon esports	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fc…650ebacked Dynasty	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked mCon esports	61c	21.4$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked mCon esports	67c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked mCon esports	64c	15.66$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5514…72bdbacked mCon esports	68c	15.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupthis page
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty - Game 2 WinnermCon esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event