TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c9,000$4,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under49c7,191$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,256$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c5,756$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Over51c3,464$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c2,117$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.6734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Under80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over47c1,098$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c1,014$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c999$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over55c909$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.953571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c897.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.977358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over34c759.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c738.56$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c691.87$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7710152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.418459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.74035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c340.76$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over47c251.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over53c225.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c223.97$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over20c213$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over51c194.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over51c192.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c179.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.598852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over49c167.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.273336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under49c161.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.933941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over52c159.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over52c134$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.682245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under52c114.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8316448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over42c99.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.696439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44bc…e775backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over52c96.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over27c90.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fd8…8593backed Under53c83.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under79c82.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c81.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4893…85a3backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over50c65.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.573528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over54c60.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Over42c59.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.921136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over53c56.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under79c54.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over50c50.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.58444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c45.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over50c40.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2117955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.148748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…0742backed Under51c39.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…bc38backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c37.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.636842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ec…2065backed Over76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Under52c29.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Under48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under57c26.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.484139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…df6cbacked Over51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under71c21.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.243759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.885354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Over53c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4750%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.