Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x540c168ddfd156197cfbe05c752f99f750e6466ff70952eede96eebd6fddf0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 40c | 4,708$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.44 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 1,907$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.8 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed No | 61c | 890$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 38c | 656.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 63c | 507.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 448$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 412.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 63c | 379$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 37c | 335.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 278.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 187.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 166.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 146.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Yes | 35c | 143.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 41c | 128.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 58c | 116.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 40c | 88.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…f5bcbacked Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked No | 60c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…19e0backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed No | 67c | 51.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…27aabacked No | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 27.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 72c | 26.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.