Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2025-12-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90e9354068fdd928e439ac0116e3ebabcde7f5ff38c032e0404c428ffe21c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 12c | 12,482$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.02 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,900$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,684$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed Yes | 4c | 2,532$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,300$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 1,997$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,460$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 12c | 999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 16c | 607.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 5c | 431.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…92f4backed Yes | 6c | 414.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked Yes | 3c | 333.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 12c | 246.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 13c | 191.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 12c | 183.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 15c | 177.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 171.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 15c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 13c | 85.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…b8cfbacked Yes | 14c | 77.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2025-12-23?this page
- Will DR Congo vs. Benin end in a draw?No won
- Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.