NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa43249aa83edeb898a3972580b55e116b09aeb49933cd65979f448686cb64de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $867,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 49ers | 48c | 366,075$175,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,822.98 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Seahawks | 52c | 152,795$79,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,341.8 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 53c | 122,821$65,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,717.61 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Seahawks | 52c | 106,538$55,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,138.46 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 53c | 98,524$51,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,663.68 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seahawks | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.85 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 49ers | 47c | 32,000$15,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,040 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 52c | 30,337$15,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,572 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Seahawks | 53c | 20,377$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,577.36 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Seahawks | 54c | 20,192$10,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.99 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Seahawks | 52c | 19,140$9,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,187.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed 49ers | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Seahawks | 53c | 12,563$6,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.61 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed 49ers | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed 49ers | 47c | 8,533$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.55 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Seahawks | 51c | 6,998$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked 49ers | 50c | 5,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Seahawks | 53c | 4,900$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Seahawks | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 47c | 4,487$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.52 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked 49ers | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed 49ers | 49c | 3,948$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers | 48c | 3,512$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.6 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Seahawks | 53c | 3,334$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.98 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed 49ers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed 49ers | 49c | 3,015$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 49ers | 47c | 2,630$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.16 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks | 50c | 2,591$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.56 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…c113backed Seahawks | 61c | 2,581$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 49ers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 49ers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked 49ers | 48c | 2,500$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Seahawks | 51c | 2,047$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.14 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed 49ers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Seahawks | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed 49ers | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Seahawks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seahawks | 54c | 1,765$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.49 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Seahawks | 53c | 1,630$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 49ers | 47c | 1,511$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.85 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked 49ers | 46c | 1,382$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.92 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,316$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.52 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed 49ers | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 49ers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 49ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4d64backed Seahawks | 53c | 841.38$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed 49ers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 49ers | 50c | 805.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked 49ers | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed 49ers | 43c | 797.35$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Seahawks | 53c | 740.52$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked 49ers | 38c | 700$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed 49ers | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed 49ers | 48c | 600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e283backed Seahawks | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Seahawks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed 49ers | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed 49ers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked 49ers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed 49ers | 50c | 496.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked 49ers | 48c | 480.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed 49ers | 46c | 464.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.87 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 49ers | 34c | 461.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked 49ers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Seahawks | 53c | 402.68$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked 49ers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 49ers | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 49ers | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed 49ers | 48c | 382.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed 49ers | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Seahawks | 53c | 364.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Seahawks | 63c | 358.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed 49ers | 48c | 357.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked 49ers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Seahawks | 74c | 317.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 49ers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed 49ers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked 49ers | 46c | 273.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Seahawks | 51c | 269.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed 49ers | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed 49ers | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed 49ers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Seahawks | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed 49ers | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked 49ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…f575backed Seahawks | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed 49ers | 50c | 201.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed 49ers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…53f4backed Seahawks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed 49ers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Seahawks | 53c | 198.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Seahawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Seahawks | 53c | 194.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Seahawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…2728backed 49ers | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 49ers | 46c | 187.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-0.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. 49ersSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.