TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Under50c77,250$38,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,624.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over50c44,660$22,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,283.414440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under50c39,270$19,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6352441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Under51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,250650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c21,433$10,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,716.556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c18,874$9,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,43786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over49c16,446$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.6616860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c6,642$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.561,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c4,680$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.1924056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c3,046$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.2453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over47c2,319$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.1428447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,541$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c1,521$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.879447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over46c945$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.73727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.244153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c407.35$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.378736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c306.61$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1834652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c300.59$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2820443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over50c260.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.025347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.319638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011459.6%68 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c56…269fbacked Over57c176.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004835.4%17 W · 31 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.315952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c166.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c130.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9711463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c129$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c102.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over49c98.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8813339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.436570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.079641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8115855.7%88 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.415353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over50c47.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.766558.5%38 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Over50c40.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under54c35.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under51c29.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.420944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d14…464bbacked Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480a…429fbacked Over47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8830442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over53c20.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.