TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c181,458$86,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,298.9424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Over54c90,098$48,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,451.8711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c72,814$37,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,749.0831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under51c60,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,60017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Over50c50,511$25,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,255.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c30,933$15,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,188.679447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under48c30,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,499.9917348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under54c15,648$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,268.468747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c15,516$7,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,202.8573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over51c9,278$4,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.6624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c4,769$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.4251352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…8b3abacked Over49c4,268$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-78.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c3,751$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.051,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over51c3,164$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.754949%24 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c2,673$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.2331450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c2,074$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.5665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02012445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009444.7%42 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…1eacbacked Under51c1,585$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.372070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.56251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c1,161$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5921850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c941.73$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8739447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c676$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under48c626$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.5212151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over54c616.67$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33329059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29415851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005223.1%12 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.22544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502035%7 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over51c435.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22213641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over49c396$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.045860.3%35 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010555.2%58 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c316$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1626649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c290.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12523447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over51c226.91$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.485543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x522b…5160backed Under46c202.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10410461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011855.9%66 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over55c184.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1355345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over50c172$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.859641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe341…7dbebacked Over50c149$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.88451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6510548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3e52backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.116570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xab52…5487backed Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over51c72.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Over54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-66.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c61.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.320944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…c93abacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41e…eca9backed Over49c49.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.228754%47 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Over54c49.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76a…700bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Over51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over50c39.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd25c…2bdcbacked Over51c39.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7473…935bbacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.214848%71 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8d…1425backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512148.8%59 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Over59c25.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c24.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.519439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480a…429fbacked Under51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.535350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…89e4backed Over49c21.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92d7…d6d0backed Over51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112568%17 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+117.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.