TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under57c47,000$26,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,209.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Over43c40,157$17,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,267.3319553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under53c30,267$16,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,225.324652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c29,560$13,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,381.5147348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c24,073$13,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,356.8256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c19,868$9,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,260.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over44c7,060$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.2423937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c6,459$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.231,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c5,924$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.6250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over43c5,400$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under53c4,644$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.358951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over43c3,992$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.565650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c3,680$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.5920661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Over43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5052740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over47c3,106$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4604351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over9c2,827$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.414555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c2,662$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d7…7cf1backed Over44c2,650$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.95875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Under56c2,650$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over43c1,976$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.3754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3910548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under55c1,470$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.6365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,398$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.0739447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c1,322$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over44c1,177$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.887143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Under60c996.05$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c903$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.3577052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under54c896.8$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.536558.5%38 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over43c875$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.253727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under56c782.57$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over44c525$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23128447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c499.34$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6834652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over20c483.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.614944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c438$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.213756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x331b…193fbacked Under74c415.04$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.911060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79d1…f1a3backed Over17c412.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.37728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over41c407.78$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2829439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over44c386.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.086647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over51c322.2$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12959453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c291.99$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3926649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c258.26$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under58c254.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.073767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…c165backed Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Over44c227.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.015349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Over44c227.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Over44c225.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under58c221.45$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.012157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042020%4 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over45c162.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.933240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.513844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.156547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Over47c143.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-65.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ad…fdcebacked Over44c136.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c18…d355backed Under79c126.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c104.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0416045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Over45c103.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474734%16 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over44c100.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1716551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x114c…53f4backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3318245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4317459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over44c97.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.775347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Under54c90.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.571450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over14c89.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7714844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under58c86.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over44c83.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.774540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Over44c80.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.294944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over39c78.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4632043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.076570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0fe6…2f03backed Over44c67.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.551450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc68…c62fbacked Over44c67.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Over44c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.048557.6%49 W · 36 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Over45c63.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.713953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under79c63.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over43c62.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under57c54.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.614953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f7…417cbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Over44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aad…18f4backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over44c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.557841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…82fcbacked Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Over44c39.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.268052.5%42 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Over44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.167955.7%44 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.