Earnings · resolved market
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69793f4e18e169b21244bab9451acc7610ac41234d05a6edf2079b5c9f1e7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,562$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 19c | 2,741$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.53 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 13c | 2,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…01aebacked No | 26c | 799.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 10c | 670.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 75c | 569.7$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 11c | 499.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 461.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 13c | 449.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 10c | 428.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 16c | 420$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 414.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed No | 29c | 350.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 15c | 346.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 11c | 289.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 73c | 280.23$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 4c | 275.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 10c | 275.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed No | 23c | 264.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…43e7backed No | 19c | 259.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 16c | 246.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 13c | 238.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 16c | 221.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 14c | 202.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…22abbacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 11c | 193.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 70c | 190$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 27c | 177.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 7c | 162.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 17c | 151.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…ca98backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed Yes | 74c | 135.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed No | 15c | 125.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…3cc7backed Yes | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…2566backed No | 18c | 113.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 18c | 111.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked No | 19c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 77c | 101.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…9e90backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…4048backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 41c | 98.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…a8c1backed No | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 21c | 69.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…43dcbacked No | 15c | 66.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6a49backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 29c | 57.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…4413backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 79c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…fc71backed Yes | 71c | 30.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 40 | 87.5%35 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 60c | 27.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 80c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 61c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 73c | 21.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.