Earnings · resolved market
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9235a428976ad408046e7a07137943ade4bfbd70ceade1a85f2e7ef659273535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 6c | 1,165$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…caafbacked No | 17c | 587.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 15c | 515.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 29c | 372.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 77c | 355.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked No | 14c | 219.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 77c | 203.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…3cd6backed No | 18c | 184.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 19c | 166.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…d65cbacked No | 19c | 164.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 26c | 141.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked No | 30c | 131.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 77c | 130.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 19c | 128.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 79c | 126.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 16c | 105.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 70c | 101.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 100.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 17c | 72.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 77c | 51.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…15c4backed Yes | 77c | 27.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 69c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…654abacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 72c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.