TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Cavaliersof Northwestern Wildcats, Virginia Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Virginia Cavaliers66c53,978$35,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,228.612157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats34c24,712$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,305.1912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Northwestern Wildcats47c24,386$11,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,431.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c18,294$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.351,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c18,238$9,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,571.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Cavaliers67c8,903$6,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.391,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Northwestern Wildcats32c8,646$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.768749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Northwestern Wildcats36c6,626$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.234943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Northwestern Wildcats34c4,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Virginia Cavaliers66c4,474$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.5955657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f95…d8cdbacked Virginia Cavaliers60c4,185$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats37c4,176$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.041,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Virginia Cavaliers48c3,780$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.011154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern Wildcats34c3,587$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.612,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Northwestern Wildcats31c3,298$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.613941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Virginia Cavaliers53c3,113$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.8815556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Cavaliers67c2,805$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.282,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Virginia Cavaliers56c2,417$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Northwestern Wildcats36c2,250$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Northwestern Wildcats32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Cavaliers67c1,748$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.665,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Northwestern Wildcats54c1,733$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.1833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Northwestern Wildcats40c1,553$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Northwestern Wildcats36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Virginia Cavaliers62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.326852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats43c1,230$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.732,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Northwestern Wildcats25c807.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Northwestern Wildcats37c800$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia Cavaliers64c744$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8612853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed Northwestern Wildcats6c722.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Northwestern Wildcats51c680.35$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Virginia Cavaliers53c680$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Virginia Cavaliers45c671.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Virginia Cavaliers52c647.93$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.832642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Northwestern Wildcats56c628$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.947145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked Virginia Cavaliers73c566.66$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Virginia Cavaliers68c555$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.355141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Virginia Cavaliers74c538.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Virginia Cavaliers63c500.35$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4423158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Northwestern Wildcats32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Northwestern Wildcats20c469.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8910041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers60c419.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.475,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Virginia Cavaliers49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Virginia Cavaliers48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Northwestern Wildcats36c381.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Northwestern Wildcats58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats36c339.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.881,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Virginia Cavaliers60c334.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.584148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Northwestern Wildcats36c325.19$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.928341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats43c323$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.871,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Northwestern Wildcats25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7415442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Northwestern Wildcats64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Northwestern Wildcats47c299.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Northwestern Wildcats34c298.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdd…0cc1backed Northwestern Wildcats35c283.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Virginia Cavaliers38c279.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1725536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Northwestern Wildcats44c229.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Northwestern Wildcats17c225$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.111136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Northwestern Wildcats43c220$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Northwestern Wildcats23c214.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats52c206.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Virginia Cavaliers45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c0…a28ebacked Virginia Cavaliers66c195$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Northwestern Wildcats26c181.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c179.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.194,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Northwestern Wildcats36c154.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f11…87f8backed Northwestern Wildcats34c149.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Virginia Cavaliers69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Virginia Cavaliers78c144$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.687467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c142$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Northwestern Wildcats53c138.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1513219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Virginia Cavaliers69c137.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5311439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Northwestern Wildcats37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Northwestern Wildcats34c130.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.712334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Northwestern Wildcats46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0e…79f3backed Virginia Cavaliers78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf014…9928backed Northwestern Wildcats58c123.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Virginia Cavaliers78c117.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Northwestern Wildcats57c115.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Northwestern Wildcats53c109.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.161050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa08…b12dbacked Northwestern Wildcats36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Northwestern Wildcats17c100.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0729444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Northwestern Wildcats32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b0…d159backed Northwestern Wildcats39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern Wildcats36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Northwestern Wildcats33c89.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf5…443bbacked Northwestern Wildcats23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Virginia Cavaliers67c85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Virginia Cavaliers57c83.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Virginia Cavaliers51c78.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Virginia Cavaliers65c76.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Northwestern Wildcats55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats36c71.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Northwestern Wildcats49c67.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.972650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Northwestern Wildcats52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Northwestern Wildcats35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Virginia Cavaliers38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.637140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a45…512abacked Northwestern Wildcats36c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Virginia Cavaliers68c50.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.