Earnings · resolved market
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0abd05861bb16fabd78044f6d583055e05722e2bbacdf50bdb5e86cbae2d6cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 18c | 4,431$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.04 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 77c | 3,031$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…8fcbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,727$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…43efbacked No | 2c | 2,567$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 12c | 2,194$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.65 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 15c | 1,720$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…e8acbacked No | 26c | 1,548$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…14adbacked No | 30c | 1,419$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed Yes | 76c | 1,235$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 75c | 1,115$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.93 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 14c | 1,030$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…aefabacked No | 11c | 996.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 932.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 15c | 709.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 13c | 699.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 38c | 697.12$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 27c | 668.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 30c | 625.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed No | 15c | 589.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 12c | 556.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4040…89b6backed Yes | 56c | 550$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…390bbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 32c | 496.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 34c | 496.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…7c0abacked No | 14c | 452.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 443.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 12c | 418.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 27c | 400.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 400.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…493abacked No | 13c | 399.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 12c | 394.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 21c | 351.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked No | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 63c | 278.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 78c | 275$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 12c | 249.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 246.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked No | 14c | 238.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 9c | 227.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 10c | 218.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 20c | 205.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 8c | 171.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 73c | 158.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 22c | 149.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 11c | 148.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 133.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 75c | 130.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…a853backed No | 17c | 127.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…cc33backed No | 23c | 121.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 24c | 117.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed No | 20c | 100.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 56c | 76.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…9532backed Yes | 69c | 76.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 16c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 61c | 75.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a1…90bfbacked No | 29c | 71.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed Yes | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +259.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…80d3backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked Yes | 58c | 59.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked No | 31c | 58.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 57.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 45c | 51.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…6eafbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…382dbacked Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 62c | 37.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 72c | 34.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91b1…4ba1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…fccbbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.