NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3767ba7f5478506ab7dae9acd0c78fcb3e2c0b18d4afd9edfecccb515f4c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,745$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 2,028$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.6 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,251$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 960.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 925$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Over | 38c | 525.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 61c | 339.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 52c | 315.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Over | 51c | 301.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 140.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 94.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 28c | 80.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 73.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Under | 50c | 59.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Over | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 35.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…7214backed Over | 55c | 34.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…cd6ebacked Under | 52c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 51c | 31.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5this page
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.