NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5a27aa84733a54727638e72174d543bac23f3701428ca4207e72af1636ea6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 15,290$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,938.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 12,406$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.18 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.59 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,680$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 2,362$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.44 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,244$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.38 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.88 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Over | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 2,098$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,889$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 900$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 372$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 297$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 257.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 48c | 131.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 48c | 58.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…58ecbacked Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 52c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 22.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5this page
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.