NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb3db63a075c39192c45789b9f839f8cc03db38782ad7c22215345530cf2574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Under | 51c | 17,000$8,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,252.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 10,566$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 7,685$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.31 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 4,997$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.75 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Over | 46c | 1,633$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 1,473$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.24 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 934.25$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.77 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…c918backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Over | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 539.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 319.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 261.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Over | 46c | 216.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 47c | 198.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 160.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 46c | 129.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Under | 54c | 92.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Under | 55c | 59.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Over | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Over | 47c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 47c | 37.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Under | 54c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 36.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 23.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 52c | 19.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Dolphins won
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Dolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. DolphinsDolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineDolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.