Earnings · resolved market
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f71c338bca0686d2f09a8d61ecdf725171ce8792c56271fe6c79340c5cc7cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 1c | 6,038$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 73c | 3,901$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.28 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,423$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…ab24backed No | 75c | 2,724$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 34c | 2,129$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.63 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked No | 44c | 2,105$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +429.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Yes | 30c | 1,578$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 50c | 1,476$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.03 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…e192backed No | 78c | 1,261$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…f7acbacked No | 72c | 1,135$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…ec05backed No | 71c | 1,016$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…8fcbbacked No | 72c | 1,015$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 953.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…252ebacked No | 69c | 899.99$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 23c | 885.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 19c | 649.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 44c | 540.53$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 16c | 532.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 32c | 515$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 31c | 459.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed No | 75c | 430$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 6c | 425$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 12c | 403$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9edabacked No | 78c | 364.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…a8e6backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 6c | 290.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 49c | 273.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 228.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked Yes | 22c | 208$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 34c | 185.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 165.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…d65cbacked No | 67c | 151.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 147.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Yes | 69c | 143.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 66c | 139.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked No | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed No | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 72c | 129.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…0c0abacked No | 79c | 128.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…0509backed Yes | 38c | 122.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…7a2dbacked Yes | 67c | 116.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed No | 47c | 105.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…f99ebacked No | 73c | 103.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 88.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…395ebacked Yes | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…b4b3backed No | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 30c | 75.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…7423backed Yes | 67c | 74.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 55c | 73.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…06b3backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…0ea2backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 27c | 64.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 66c | 62.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 44c | 59.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…a853backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…3b83backed Yes | 29c | 47.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed No | 52c | 45.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 29c | 40.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked No | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 37c | 39.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 54c | 30.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…949ebacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…5413backed No | 37c | 29.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 59c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…dbe0backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…6767backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed No | 77c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.