South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29335f3c04b47b46ccab7b396fbe0b0ab286fde18f0ddf76351b06b91c579661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,181$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd86…1e84backed Yes | 78c | 1,538$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…a7ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,493$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes | 60c | 1,420$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 31c | 1,102$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,057$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 694.41$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 692.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 36c | 549.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 373.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 32c | 188.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 50c | 149.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 131.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…4ffbbacked Yes | 61c | 131.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 72c | 76.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…618cbacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 32c | 35.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 34.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…328cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-03?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.