South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeabddc117bf2218fa8030cf9dd2705dd04ca5810f94ee084d66ff61badbd02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 33c | 28,366$9,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,470.64 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 25,086$16,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,030.88 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 5,026$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,589$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.34 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 954.73$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…a258backed Yes | 35c | 850$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed No | 65c | 850$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 697.86$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.71 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 690.55$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 40c | 543.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 512.01$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 269.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 38c | 162.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 116.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee5…d25cbacked Yes | 33c | 111.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 36c | 78.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…e934backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 65c | 53.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 45.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-03?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.