CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs FORZE Reload (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc99d3e4bf2a132d1ccad0faddb92ee131604dc260c7a3e6b1ed02ecd433c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof kONO.ECF, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61b…3984backed kONO.ECF | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 1,634$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.09 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked kONO.ECF | 68c | 940.72$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 739.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…d0f2backed FORZE Reload | 24c | 246.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 134.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked kONO.ECF | 49c | 115.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed kONO.ECF | 78c | 115.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed FORZE Reload | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 55.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked FORZE Reload | 47c | 51.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed kONO.ECF | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…7545backed FORZE Reload | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa86…f499backed kONO.ECF | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked FORZE Reload | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…491cbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…890fbacked kONO.ECF | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed FORZE Reload | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…01d0backed kONO.ECF | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…6db4backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…e524backed kONO.ECF | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…dd19backed kONO.ECF | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs FORZE Reload (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.