Earnings · resolved market
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88136132a2e7173cbf336b74eaa92210992900ba490f0203db90e6c7df6dd27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 79c | 2,969$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.49 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 18c | 2,191$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.98 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 13c | 1,307$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…053fbacked Yes | 22c | 689$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 24c | 570.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 15c | 499.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 22c | 464.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 11c | 450.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 71c | 422.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 19c | 302.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 79c | 285.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…8789backed Yes | 23c | 217.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 65c | 196.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 80c | 175.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 24c | 173.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 65c | 156.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe2…f885backed Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 27c | 149.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 142.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…1790backed Yes | 22c | 134.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 31c | 131.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 46c | 119.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed No | 56c | 116.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 44c | 114.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 75c | 111.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…ff50backed Yes | 18c | 110.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 14c | 109.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Yes | 50c | 99.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 27c | 94.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…2ee9backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 22c | 92.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…ba80backed Yes | 24c | 84.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 35c | 83.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d8…0af3backed Yes | 25c | 80.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…d69bbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c0c3backed Yes | 22c | 67.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 71c | 55.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 30c | 54.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…df33backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 78c | 32.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5610…f46abacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…ac81backed No | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 63c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…d59abacked No | 80c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…b66cbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…621bbacked No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked No | 79c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.