TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7197…14c8backed No43c14,211$6,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1696435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c9,458$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.146,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes72c1,671$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes73c1,594$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.847954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c1,475$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.184,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…d55dbacked No72c1,405$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Yes28c1,403$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,121$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.727332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No71c1,005$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.810050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes42c932.11$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5521965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c925.92$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yes49c815.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.082114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes57c585.04$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.451,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No54c550.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes51c546.01$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.231,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8319732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes59c344.01$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.861,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes28c289$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.084757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes28c279$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.884445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes78c257.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.428365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes56c228.86$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.618655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No75c201.94$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.072356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d11…17fdbacked No7c162.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes50c143.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0230739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Yes59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.587463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c125.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1719654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Yes28c113$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes28c109$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes76c107.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9489252.9%472 W · 420 L-3.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes28c103$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.164148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5e…e37abacked Yes69c102.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.16875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No28c100.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes28c97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.844057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed No46c94.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.445865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes28c94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.682646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes28c91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.523751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes46c86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.845228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes37c84.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No54c81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7416238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked No72c81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes41c61.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.414052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f7…919bbacked Yes63c60.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes43c58.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.552548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302630.8%8 W · 18 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-51.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed No72c53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Yes28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Yes28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.164949%24 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7213951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed No72c51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed No72c48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed No72c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Yes28c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes28c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked No72c38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.362157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked No28c37.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.461421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked No72c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked No72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes70c34.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes29c34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No72c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.763036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked No72c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Yes74c32.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.497751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df2…e7b0backed Yes61c32.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked No72c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked No72c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.322055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed No72c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.882152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed No72c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes49c28.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6610130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d40…4e09backed Yes59c27.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.182060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked No72c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed No72c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked No72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed No72c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked No72c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked No72c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked No72c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed No72c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked No72c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick60cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed No72c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked No72c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No72c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.