Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda76ef9ad928705959eefd076b94d6f63d5fb308840bce008165e0c365e9ec77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 76c | 2,307$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.6 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,947$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 1,677$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 19c | 1,027$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 921.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 797.5$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 24c | 612.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 484.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 20c | 361.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 281.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 17c | 271.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 234$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 206.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 23c | 173.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…ca86backed Yes | 24c | 168.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 19c | 153.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 148.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 23c | 128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 20c | 80.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 79.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 16c | 74.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 25c | 74.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 25c | 54.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 46.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…16c9backed No | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 74c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…64ccbacked No | 77c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.