CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a2e4f798550ba71afaa00a11604e571d916544041cb5058e362ab79d2746823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Under | 72c | 1,940$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…8fbfbacked Under | 63c | 1,850$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 31c | 1,831$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,378$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.58 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 37c | 466.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 33c | 439.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 74c | 313.45$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 80c | 230$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Under | 55c | 187.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 19c | 145$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 125.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Under | 20c | 117.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Under | 61c | 115.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Under | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 59c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 21c | 87.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Under | 57c | 83.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 21c | 47.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Under | 31c | 44.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 40c | 43.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…c6d5backed Under | 78c | 39.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 46c | 38.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Under | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)EYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.