TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No53c34,740$18,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,411.978957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No56c20,067$11,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,237.5210438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes52c9,701$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes47c8,514$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.332962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes47c8,112$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.262850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No10c7,986$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.7169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c7,075$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…8982backed No57c5,067$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe501…d2f1backed Yes43c5,058$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.996944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No56c2,774$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.684959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No55c1,535$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.056836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c1,444$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.893,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes45c1,416$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.4953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c1,369$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.2730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes44c1,362$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No53c1,241$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.162623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No56c1,186$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.134942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.837448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No58c1,062$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2314244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c933.2$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.4464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No53c925$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.054740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No55c843.83$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c770$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No7c672$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No56c496.98$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.313636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes47c449.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.534235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No17c384.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No9c324.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes45c310$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes48c309.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c254.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedc…f590backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Yes47c230.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.88253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No58c212.07$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f15…a634backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes43c199.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.485427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes44c176.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes44c151.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.842540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes44c141$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6314645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c138.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes45c137.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc900…4557backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes43c129.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes70c115$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2532…5b32backed Yes74c114$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No56c113.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0217252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1128342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2615062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No56c100.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…1b34backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c38…07c8backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e20…1524backed No54c90.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c85.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No39c81.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.783043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes72c73.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.721866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes47c73.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.174850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes72c72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.446946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1820047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes44c67.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.673348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa7…a765backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3faa…feb4backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes45c64.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes59c63.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.247851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…e91bbacked No55c59.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825044%22 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…0f29backed Yes43c55.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…7e61backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5610041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ca2…2014backed Yes45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes42c52.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.454936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes72c51.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6421648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.