La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b81434e353265c4a4def06437a8fc347046a6e1bca3013f238839f8083927d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,886$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 944.66$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 893.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 493$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 404.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 71c | 342.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 30c | 333.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…a634backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 98.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 89.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 68.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 70c | 52.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fba0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 47.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 29c | 39.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 69c | 37.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes | 31c | 34.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 31.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e7c0backed No | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.