TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina Tar Heelsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Kentucky Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Kentucky Wildcats79c9,824$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,749.5511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kentucky Wildcats61c9,429$5,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.2569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c9,139$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,492.722,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky Wildcats71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kentucky Wildcats70c4,952$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.5728539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c4,200$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.8222645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels26c3,847$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.122040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c1…9b20backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c3,814$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+66.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed North Carolina Tar Heels44c3,354$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.6555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c3,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.611637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Carolina Tar Heels39c2,339$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.471,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Kentucky Wildcats72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kentucky Wildcats58c1,704$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.967145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels42c1,379$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.041,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c1,238$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.382,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kentucky Wildcats71c1,202$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.411,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats61c1,112$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c1,012$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.37419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed North Carolina Tar Heels26c961.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.92633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels35c958.92$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.123158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd36b…d4d4backed North Carolina Tar Heels79c852.03$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed North Carolina Tar Heels38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats69c752.55$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked North Carolina Tar Heels29c747.41$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.667727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed North Carolina Tar Heels35c715.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.219057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c690$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.99148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats76c664.75$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed North Carolina Tar Heels37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kentucky Wildcats65c449.82$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels72c421.31$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.191,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…2423backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c398.87$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Kentucky Wildcats72c392.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7225254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kentucky Wildcats70c370.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kentucky Wildcats72c355$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed North Carolina Tar Heels19c348.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c316.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.176841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels36c306.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked North Carolina Tar Heels33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked North Carolina Tar Heels25c284.02$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.711,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed North Carolina Tar Heels52c275$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325570.9%39 W · 16 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed North Carolina Tar Heels37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2739144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels25c264.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.645,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kentucky Wildcats47c263.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8510041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd9…9ef5backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kentucky Wildcats44c247.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9812435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels26c224.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.64122%9 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Kentucky Wildcats71c222$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.622123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked North Carolina Tar Heels44c212.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9915939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kentucky Wildcats75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Kentucky Wildcats80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Kentucky Wildcats55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels28c199.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.861,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f1…20eebacked North Carolina Tar Heels26c193.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina Tar Heels35c190.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d89…36f5backed North Carolina Tar Heels24c183.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.83714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-41.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed North Carolina Tar Heels56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Kentucky Wildcats71c175$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.252347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Kentucky Wildcats70c166.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6735452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked North Carolina Tar Heels65c154.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.113040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed North Carolina Tar Heels42c153.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe820…a857backed North Carolina Tar Heels26c143.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Kentucky Wildcats62c139.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.792828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c76…8b35backed Kentucky Wildcats64c137.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Kentucky Wildcats71c130$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed North Carolina Tar Heels51c120.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Kentucky Wildcats67c117.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.533158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af0…9594backed Kentucky Wildcats27c114.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked North Carolina Tar Heels26c111.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5422640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa647…6af3backed North Carolina Tar Heels37c108.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed Kentucky Wildcats76c105.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.223360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Kentucky Wildcats71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7134947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Kentucky Wildcats71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina Tar Heels24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7642934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x467b…e654backed North Carolina Tar Heels36c98.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Carolina Tar Heels27c98.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed North Carolina Tar Heels54c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5844955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels26c83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.425137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b85…14f8backed North Carolina Tar Heels33c81.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Kentucky Wildcats67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed North Carolina Tar Heels23c72.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3911542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x855c…9213backed Kentucky Wildcats71c72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Kentucky Wildcats69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.418646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x548f…43b6backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c59.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina Tar Heels32c55.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ae…33e4backed North Carolina Tar Heels37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Kentucky Wildcats65c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.256373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed North Carolina Tar Heels27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Kentucky Wildcats71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.513343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels29c48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ca…0557backed Kentucky Wildcats42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab35…ccd0backed North Carolina Tar Heels27c45.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfc…10f7backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c44.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Kentucky Wildcats71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c38.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6115246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5670…6db5backed North Carolina Tar Heels41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e87cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels80c28.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.779100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd000…bcdebacked Kentucky Wildcats71c27.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed57…bd41backed Kentucky Wildcats78c27.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb102…0206backed Kentucky Wildcats76c26.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.