South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-12-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88ffcd2eb577ecdb9514e0ebd0712def4ba0d6c9ab5ac0de865f6c7731affd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No | 64c | 5,821$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 5,433$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 3,641$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.46 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 3,186$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,129$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.18 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 1,249$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.07 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 43c | 906.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 786.29$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Yes | 46c | 698$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 684.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 45c | 595.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 39c | 522.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 34c | 503.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 54c | 489.72$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 41c | 428.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…90f6backed No | 59c | 421.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…840fbacked No | 54c | 398$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 15c | 388.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 371$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 55c | 361.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 40c | 309.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 275.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 54c | 273.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 264$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 54c | 220.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 215.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 207.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 42c | 174.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 163$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 92.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 60c | 88.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…6289backed Yes | 46c | 83.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2866…1176backed Yes | 43c | 76.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Yes | 37c | 76.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…271ebacked No | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 46c | 64.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…093dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…047cbacked No | 58c | 51.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 44c | 50.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 47.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 48c | 41.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 39c | 31.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 30.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes | 40c | 27.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Yes | 46c | 27.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…bb69backed Yes | 47c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdab…b5c1backed Yes | 46c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…f38cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-12-02?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.