Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3696919542c6fc57399be095e7882befead0a1a00eefbe0dc28a0dd1c1dd8204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,657$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 35c | 4,007$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.8 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,288$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 934.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.87 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 37c | 748.3$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 33c | 547.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 533.11$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 9c | 531.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 425.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 29c | 252.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 247.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 32c | 220.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 209.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 19c | 195.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…6b80backed Yes | 21c | 146.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 70c | 86.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 69.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 31c | 48.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 27c | 41.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked No | 70c | 30.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 22.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 66c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?No won
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.