Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1708a576c5238ade28a79a241c2dd14dc61f836bfe4f5270ad53c96e857e0b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 4,692$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 72c | 2,942$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.34 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 2,893$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.15 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 2,388$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 2,013$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.37 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 840.69$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.88 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 70c | 681.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 557.36$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 29c | 509.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Yes | 31c | 504.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 502.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.38 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 39c | 413.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 64c | 342.82$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 42c | 311.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 263.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 252.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 8c | 205.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 63c | 196.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 43c | 159.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 7c | 149.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 66c | 129.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 60c | 112$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 18c | 86.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed No | 49c | 60.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…5593backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 46c | 55.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 51.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 54c | 44.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed No | 32c | 36.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Yes | 46c | 34.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…4ac4backed Yes | 70c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked No | 64c | 16.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.