NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee0c28c208bf44c00e4bd1a041716a4c6e2ed0a28bc254f9a8456baacdee2af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Kraken, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Kraken | 45c | 102,426$46,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,091.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 55c | 72,293$39,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,704.76 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Islanders | 55c | 23,492$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Islanders | 56c | 22,672$12,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,067.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kraken | 45c | 14,711$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.12 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Islanders | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kraken | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Islanders | 59c | 7,350$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken | 43c | 7,321$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.46 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 40c | 7,055$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 40c | 2,085$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Islanders | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 41c | 1,540$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.38 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…cabbbacked Kraken | 4c | 1,073$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 42c | 1,006$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.64 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Islanders | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Kraken | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 41c | 976.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Islanders | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 44c | 861.25$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Kraken | 42c | 837.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Islanders | 41c | 824.19$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Islanders | 46c | 822$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.59 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 52c | 788.44$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Islanders | 57c | 787.79$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.57 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Islanders | 60c | 780.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.26 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Islanders | 59c | 749.94$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Kraken | 41c | 731.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 59c | 708.68$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kraken | 8c | 565.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken | 57c | 564$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Islanders | 56c | 537.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kraken | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Islanders | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Islanders | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.89 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Kraken | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kraken | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 59c | 484$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 43c | 421.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…f5acbacked Islanders | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…40d0backed Kraken | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…fe7bbacked Kraken | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f943backed Islanders | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…63c9backed Islanders | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…16a3backed Islanders | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…6628backed Kraken | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Islanders | 59c | 400$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…84a9backed Kraken | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Kraken | 40c | 399.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…cbdabacked Kraken | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…2bd0backed Islanders | 61c | 390$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…e1adbacked Kraken | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…0e2bbacked Kraken | 38c | 390$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…f227backed Kraken | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b865backed Islanders | 62c | 390$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…4e96backed Islanders | 61c | 390$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…c72bbacked Islanders | 61c | 390$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…e52ebacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…1749backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…6ff5backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…8230backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…2a9abacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…892cbacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b78…3b5ebacked Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…991dbacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…99cbbacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975a…7978backed Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3c8cbacked Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…cb28backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…1011backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3ab6backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…1968backed Kraken | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…9f92backed Islanders | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 40c | 376.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…0bb9backed Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…099dbacked Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…60e0backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…27a6backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8d…1df6backed Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…b755backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf251…043fbacked Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…aa0abacked Islanders | 62c | 370$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…e488backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…736ebacked Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…704dbacked Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eeb…b62cbacked Kraken | 38c | 370$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…c29abacked Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…0fb8backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…0e54backed Islanders | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…7b38backed Kraken | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Islandersthis page
- Kraken vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.