NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b44ff732c06a338e949c675c93b7852ee62ba0f29f3ee62125e06fb8204270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Islanders, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 61c | 1,147$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.72 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 62c | 936$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.36 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 64c | 639$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 62c | 457$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…0f44backed Islanders | 38c | 450.89$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Islanders | 39c | 360$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kraken | 61c | 341.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kraken | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Islanders | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Islanders | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Islanders | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Islanders | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Islanders | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Islanders | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Islanders | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Islanders | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Islanders | 39c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Islanders | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Islanders | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Kraken | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Kraken vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Kraken vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.