Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3030a17a425e03b684b876bddedf2173d523397e9df372d2bdc53fe49ed800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Over | 25c | 25,832$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,460.74 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 22,429$17,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 78c | 6,863$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.82 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 2,523$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 25c | 2,266$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.62 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 75c | 1,983$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.22 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 8c | 1,601$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 76c | 1,034$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 24c | 999.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 75c | 815.33$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 26c | 499.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Under | 75c | 317.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Under | 78c | 300.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 74c | 284$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under | 76c | 210.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…9af7backed Under | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 25c | 114.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Under | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 77c | 86.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 76c | 40.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…767fbacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.