Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02fea62cb2a01e2f6d856c9431c2c3d67e6932783dc50aa57b2a04c93314b99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Crystal Palace, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 79c | 19,990$15,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Crystal Palace | 22c | 14,101$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.82 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Crystal Palace | 24c | 5,806$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.41 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Burnley FC | 74c | 654.5$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burnley FC | 68c | 405$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Crystal Palace | 32c | 405$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Crystal Palace | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Crystal Palace | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Burnley FC | 69c | 161.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Burnley FC | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a04…71e9backed Crystal Palace | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Crystal Palace | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Crystal Palace | 30c | 84.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Crystal Palace | 28c | 70.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Crystal Palace | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Crystal Palace | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Burnley FC | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Burnley FC | 63c | 39.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 37.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Burnley FC | 71c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Burnley FC | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Burnley FC | 68c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.