Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb984ca8144f7658417191aa93db982b1c7748a5af6745d56e58563a0d80cbd4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 585.12$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.34 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 47c | 302.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 211.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 47c | 211.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 53c | 190.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 174.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 46c | 173.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 41c | 130$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 123.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 51c | 116.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 115.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…1505backed No | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 61.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7556backed Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 54c | 43.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 51c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.