Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41cbcf3d8fe839b77fe28391880597fcfc88488be25fa708c3ccdbc73ca0b88c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Over | 71c | 16,765$11,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,855.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 7,973$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 7,294$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 6,994$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 41c | 2,992$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.95 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 70c | 2,970$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.2 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 70c | 999.09$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Under | 31c | 324.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 295.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 30c | 290.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 31c | 200.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Under | 31c | 189.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 31c | 102.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 34c | 79.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 61c | 72.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Under | 31c | 69.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…63d5backed Under | 31c | 38.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 39c | 30.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 71c | 30.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.