TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Over45c150,000$67,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,499.191030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c90,681$49,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,806.4127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c37,455$25,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,350.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over44c12,472$5,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.6121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over24c10,998$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.4611029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c9,106$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.1225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Under58c5,809$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under55c5,500$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4753060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c5,058$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.791,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over45c4,437$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c4,254$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c3,127$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under56c1,041$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over9c909.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.828646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Over18c671.1$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c363$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3536956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over19c267.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c234$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.120239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over8c205.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8816160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5e…08adbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c153.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under56c149.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9818646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under57c121$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.033161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under57c111.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.133748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Under55c109.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4517955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under56c98.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under55c92.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over12c86.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.332733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12db…7275backed Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.427758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under66c69.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8125949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over44c63.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf304…0cc0backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over45c55.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.337557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.335157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over42c51.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.737036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under73c45.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.315860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under75c38.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5413941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under57c37.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.226259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.229657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.222958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.222858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.217456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db0…b410backed Over45c33.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.