Premier League · resolved market
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb448c611cdc26e755426b061f27f6611095a59236acfe847c29456d3f03cb701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa78e…cecfbacked Yes | 52c | 23,319$12,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…bb35backed No | 48c | 23,189$11,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,058.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf700…3967backed No | 48c | 22,532$10,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,716.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…aa39backed Yes | 52c | 22,408$11,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,652.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,795$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 52c | 957.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 39c | 939.25$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 804$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 628.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 470$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 50c | 320.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 44c | 313.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…b786backed Yes | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 53c | 189.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08da…abd5backed Yes | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…96adbacked No | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 52c | 67.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 50c | 64.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 50c | 50.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed No | 49c | 46.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 49c | 38.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…875bbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8fafbacked No | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Nottingham Forest (-1.5)Wolves won
- Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.