NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bdcfdfd88025f117b0aef8ac2cd196d1d1840ac02e790da72e8315cbf6055e

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,831 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	25,344$12,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,247.1	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	48c	16,127$7,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,740.92	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	52c	8,779$4,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,213.91	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Over	53c	6,657$3,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,129	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Over	52c	5,200$2,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,496	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Over	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under	48c	4,496$2,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,158	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under	52c	3,415$1,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.51	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	48c	3,344$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.24	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.8	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	37c	2,543$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.38	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over	52c	2,518$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.55	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	52c	2,250$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over	50c	2,195$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.42	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…4a47backed Over	50c	2,120$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	51c	2,074$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.88	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	52c	2,032$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.36	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…6275backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.37per pick	50cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over	53c	1,828$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.3	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	53c	1,625$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.75	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	1,436$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.84	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	54c	1,389$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.89	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	52c	1,344$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.12	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under	47c	1,341$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.66	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Under	62c	1,325$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-9.3wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under	52c	1,035$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.2	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over	53c	935.85$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.85	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	50c	790$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	53c	711.96$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.34	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	50c	600.08$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	250	39.6%99 W · 151 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over	74c	472.73$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Under	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	52c	384.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.64	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	54c	375$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.5	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under	31c	350$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-10.8wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under	53c	346.4$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.59	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	324.7$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.24	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under	23c	272.73$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Under	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	48c	243.42$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.57	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over	47c	200$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x955b…03f8backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under	50c	165.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.63	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over	51c	164.59$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.65	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Over	56c	161.38$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.01	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x147d…d65ebacked Over	52c	119.39$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b2…82d7backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over	52c	76.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.2	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Over	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a42…6aa2backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed Over	51c	54.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.9	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…27efbacked Over	47c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under	53c	51.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	198	49%97 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…e095backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a38…7446backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe680…d768backed Over	47c	48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	52c	46.54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.34	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	48c	43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	46c	41.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under	49c	37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	45c	36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x550c…1e1abacked Under	55c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	59cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2a…845bbacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbabe…f3e7backed Over	53c	34.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0141…7df4backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over	52c	28.65$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over	52c	27.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.42	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under	53c	27.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Over	56c	27.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.14	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…e3b1backed Over	53c	22.32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.49	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Over	53c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	183	57.4%105 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef44…86a5backed Over	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf9…fbc2backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Over	54c	19.51$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Warriors won
Thunder vs. WarriorsThunder won
Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event