La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b04450cd066c01eb60c7bb2668e1ae88d95c37ba12ef7fc648059bc87ec5f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 10,660$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.95 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 33c | 9,144$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.29 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 58c | 1,901$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 1,465$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.94 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 32c | 1,417$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.36 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 54c | 1,365$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 5c | 634.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 70c | 535.29$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Under | 57c | 211.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 57c | 173.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 141.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under | 59c | 139.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 44c | 115.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 112.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…fffebacked Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 99.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 76c | 80.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 37c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…f247backed Over | 43c | 40.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 41c | 26.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Under | 57c | 18.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a61…c085backed Under | 68c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano (-1.5)Valencia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.