Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782d12c401b10a1f2c9f67e4d31bb7d189e3fa937e28c425f80c704b834dac95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 59,476$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094.18 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 49c | 26,169$12,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,319.19 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 51c | 23,245$11,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 14,337$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,168.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,633$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 80c | 3,635$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.48 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 16c | 3,583$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 3,568$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 51c | 2,226$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.78 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 2,031$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 49c | 1,864$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.57 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 49c | 1,595$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed Yes | 51c | 1,524$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 51c | 1,169$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.04 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 29c | 999.35$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.82 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 50c | 989.21$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.02 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 933.58$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.03 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 50c | 786$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 671.52$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 570.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 529.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 50c | 499.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 484.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 10c | 474.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 12c | 397.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 50c | 388.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 381.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 371.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…dab3backed Yes | 50c | 369.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 13c | 347.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 332.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 50c | 303.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…d55bbacked Yes | 50c | 297.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…f52dbacked Yes | 51c | 239.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 237.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…5495backed Yes | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…c776backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 50c | 191.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 189.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 14c | 142.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 122.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 50c | 109.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 108.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 51c | 97.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Yes | 50c | 95.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 92.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Yes | 52c | 85.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 50c | 52.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…f9c2backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.