Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb76abaf3626915d4b3dda59c6ef4b03fa9f45caa0d8f5bec40c8a187d2f4e98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 9,598$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 8,348$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 5,707$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 12c | 920.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 25c | 162.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 153.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 119.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Yes | 20c | 57.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Yes | 23c | 56.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 26c | 37.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…36adbacked No | 76c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-21?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.